Game Preview
Arizona and New York are right back at it after the Diamondbacks grabbed a 7-2 win in Queens on Wednesday. The rematch brings a clear contrast: Arizona has the hotter recent head-to-head result, while New York comes in as the home favorite with a fresh bullpen and a young starter trying to hold down a dangerous top of the order. Corbin Carroll, Ketel Marte, Francisco Lindor, and Bo Bichette give this game plenty of star power, and with the total sitting at 6.5, every run should matter.
Game Information
| Date | Thursday, April 9, 2026 |
| Time | 7:10 PM EST |
| Venue | Citi Field |
Recent Matchup History
- April 8, 2026: Arizona Diamondbacks 7 at New York Mets 2
- April 7, 2026: Arizona Diamondbacks 3 at New York Mets 4
- May 7, 2025: New York Mets 7 at Arizona Diamondbacks 1
- May 6, 2025: New York Mets 1 at Arizona Diamondbacks 5
- May 5, 2025: New York Mets 5 at Arizona Diamondbacks 4
Why New York Mets Could Win
New York could win if Nolan McLean gives them steady early innings and keeps Arizona from getting comfortable the second time through the order. His most recent listed outing was sharp: 1 hit, 2 runs, 1 earned run, 2 walks, and 4 strikeouts, with a .158 on-base percentage allowed and a .140 weighted on-base percentage against. The Mets also have a bullpen in much better shape, carrying a team stress score of just 3, with Devin Williams, Luke Weaver, and Huascar Brazobán all graded green. At the plate, Bo Bichette has done real damage in this matchup history, going 5-for-13 with 2 home runs and a 1.352 OPS against the opposing pitcher profile in the data, while Marcus Semien has a .768 OPS in his sample. New York is also 4-1 in its last 5 games, averaging 6 runs in that span, so the offense has shown it can answer quickly at home.
Why Arizona Diamondbacks Could Win
Arizona could win if it carries over the same formula from Wednesday: traffic at the top, extra-base damage from Corbin Carroll, and enough length from the starter to protect the bullpen. Carroll is coming off a huge game with 3 hits, 2 doubles, 1 triple, and 2 RBI, while Geraldo Perdomo reached base three times and Ildemaro Vargas added 3 hits. The Diamondbacks are also 6-4 over their last 10 games and an excellent 8-2 against the spread in that span, which speaks to how often they hang around even when the market prices them as the weaker side. Head-to-head in Queens has been competitive too, with Arizona winning 2 of the last 3 visits before this one. There is some bullpen concern because Arizona’s relief group carries a stress score of 6, but if the starter works deep enough, that issue shrinks. In a cold game with 48-degree weather and a 12 mph wind, one timely extra-base hit could swing the night their way again.
Final Pick
Arizona Diamondbacks ML (+152)
