MLB: New York Mets vs Athletics (04/12/26)

Game Preview

New York is trying to stop a rough home slide, while Athletics come in with real momentum after taking the first two games of this series. The rematch gets even more interesting with Freddy Peralta lined up for the Mets after Kodai Senga was knocked around for 7 earned runs in just 2.1 innings on Saturday. On the other side, the Athletics lineup is coming off a loud night led by Tyler Soderstrom, and that makes this a strong test for a New York team that has dropped 3 straight.

Game Information

DateSunday, April 12, 2026
Time1:40 PM EST
VenueCiti Field

Recent Matchup History

  • April 11, 2026: Athletics 11 at New York Mets 6
  • April 10, 2026: Athletics 4 at New York Mets 0
  • April 13, 2025: New York Mets 8 at Athletics 0
  • April 12, 2025: New York Mets 1 at Athletics 3
  • April 11, 2025: New York Mets 7 at Athletics 6

Why New York Mets Could Win

The case for New York starts with Freddy Peralta. In his recent line from March 26, he posted 7 strikeouts with no walks, and his swing-and-miss profile gives the Mets a much better mound setup than they had Saturday. That matters against an Athletics lineup that has been hot lately, but still carries some soft spots in the lower half. New York also has several hitters who have seen this opposing pitching look well. Bo Bichette went 2-for-3 with a homer and two walks on Saturday, Francisco Alvarez added a homer of his own, and Jorge Polanco has 2 home runs in 20 at-bats against this pitcher sample. Even with the recent losses, the Mets have scored enough power to change a game quickly, and cooler weather with light wind at Citi Field should help a top starter settle things early.

Why Athletics Could Win

Athletics have the cleaner recent profile, and that is hard to ignore. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games, 4-1 in their last 5, and 3-0 in their last 3, while also covering in each of those spots. Their bullpen is in much better shape too. The Athletics show a team stress score of just 3, with every listed reliever in the Green range, while the Mets bullpen carries a stress score of 27 and Sean Manaea is coming off a 70-pitch outing. Saturday also showed how dangerous this order can be. Tyler Soderstrom went 3-for-5 with 2 home runs and 5 RBI, Jeff McNeil had 3 hits, and Jacob Wilson added 2 hits. Against this matchup sample, Soderstrom is 2-for-3, Max Muncy is 2-for-4, and Jacob Wilson is 2-for-5. Add in New York’s 0-5 ATS mark over its last 5, and the road side has a real path again.

Final Pick

Athletics ML (+145)

Confidence: 6.78/10.00

The price is the biggest reason this pick stands out. +145 implies roughly 40.8%, and I rate the Athletics closer to 46%, which creates a solid edge above the break-even mark. The supporting factors are there too: better recent form, a much fresher bullpen, and stronger series results at Citi Field so far. The concern is simple: Freddy Peralta can miss bats and flip the game if he is sharp, so this is not an all-clear spot.

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