Game Preview
The New York Mets are trying to stop a slide at Citi Field, while the Athletics come in off a sharp 4-0 win in this series and a strong 3-0 run over their last three games. This matchup puts a lot of pressure on New York’s lineup against probable starter Kodai Senga, who showed swing-and-miss form with 9 strikeouts in his recent start listed here. On the other side, the Athletics have started to get timely offense from hitters like Jacob Wilson, Jeff McNeil, and Lawrence Butler, which gives this afternoon game a little more bite than the price suggests.
Game Information
| Date | Saturday, April 11, 2026 |
| Time | 4:10 PM EST |
| Venue | Citi Field |
Recent Matchup History
- April 10, 2026: Athletics 4 at New York Mets 0
- April 13, 2025: New York Mets 8 at Athletics 0
- April 12, 2025: New York Mets 1 at Athletics 3
- April 11, 2025: New York Mets 7 at Athletics 6
Why New York Could Win
New York’s clearest path starts with Kodai Senga. In the recent start listed for him, he worked a quality outing with 9 strikeouts, a 13.5 K/9, a 4.5 BB/9, and opponents hit just .182 against him. If he gets ahead early, that can settle a Mets bullpen that looks fresh, with a team stress score of only 4 and every key late arm listed as green, including Devin Williams, Brooks Raley, and Luke Weaver. There are also a few matchup signs in the order. Marcus Semien is 2-for-4 with 2 walks against this pitcher profile in the head-to-head sample here, while Bo Bichette has 2 doubles and a .857 OPS in his matchup history. The Mets are still favored for a reason, and if Senga misses bats while the middle of the order finally cashes in, New York has enough to flip this series.
Why Athletics Could Win
The Athletics have the better recent form, and that matters here. They are 4-1 in their last five games, 3-0 in their last three, and 3-0 ATS over both those three-game windows. They also just shut out New York 4-0 on Friday, and several hitters are carrying that momentum. Jacob Wilson went 3-for-4 in the last game, Jeff McNeil went 2-for-4 with a double, and Nick Kurtz worked 2 walks. There is also some useful batter-versus-pitcher history against Kodai Senga: Lawrence Butler is 2-for-3 with a double and a 1.667 OPS, and Shea Langeliers has a homer in 5 at-bats. The bullpen angle leans their way too. Even with a higher stress score of 9, the listed relievers are all still green, and New York has averaged only 1 run over its last three games. With cool weather, a total of 7.5, and 17 mph wind, this still looks like a game where a live underdog can stay in control.
Final Pick
Athletics ML (+135)
