MLB: New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Angels (04/13/26)

Game Preview

The New York Yankees are trying to stop a rough skid Monday night, but the Los Angeles Angels arrive with fresh momentum after putting up runs in bunches over the weekend. This matchup also brings a strong contrast on the mound, with Will Warren set to face an Angels lineup that has gotten production from the top and bottom of the order lately. Add in a windy night at Yankee Stadium and a recent head-to-head series that has favored Los Angeles, and this one has real tension from the first pitch.

Game Information

Recent Matchup History

• June 19, 2025: Los Angeles Angels 3 at New York Yankees 7
• June 18, 2025: Los Angeles Angels 3 at New York Yankees 2
• June 17, 2025: Los Angeles Angels 4 at New York Yankees 0
• June 16, 2025: Los Angeles Angels 1 at New York Yankees 0
• May 28, 2025: New York Yankees 1 at Los Angeles Angels 0

Why New York Yankees Could Win

New York still has a clean path to this game if Will Warren gives them enough swing-and-miss. In his listed start from March 28, he struck out 3 with 2 walks over a start that produced a 6.23 K/9 and 4.15 BB/9, and the Yankees have also shown they can miss bats with starters across the staff. The lineup has star power at the top, and Aaron Judge is coming off a game with 1 home run, 2 runs, and 2 RBI. Against this opposing pitcher, Judge has 2 home runs and a .805 OPS, while Cody Bellinger owns a .750 OPS in the matchup sample. The bullpen side also helps New York, with a team stress mark of just 5 compared to 23 for Los Angeles. At home, the Yankees are 6-4 in their last 10 and could steady this game if Warren gets them into the middle innings with the lead.

Why Los Angeles Angels Could Win

Los Angeles has the hotter recent offense, and that matters against a New York club that has dropped its last 5 games and is 0-5 against the spread in that span. The Angels have scored an average of 7.33 runs over their last 3 games and are 2-1 in that stretch, with several hitters carrying real recent form. On Sunday, Mike Trout went 2-for-4 with 3 runs, Nolan Schanuel had 2 hits and 3 RBI, and Logan O’Hoppe added 2 hits and a double. There is also pitcher history in their favor against Warren. Zach Neto is 3-for-6 with 1 double, 1 home run, and a massive 1.667 OPS off him, while Trout has chipped in a hit and .666 OPS. The Angels are also 4-1 against the spread in the last 5 meetings with New York as an underdog, and the recent matchup results in the Bronx have been good for them.

Final Pick

Los Angeles Angels ML (+153)

Confidence: 6.41/10.00

This price gives Los Angeles the better betting case. A moneyline of +153 implies roughly 39.5%, and this matchup grades closer to the mid-40% range for the Angels, which clears the minimum edge. The support comes from 4 angles: stronger recent form, favorable hitter history against Will Warren, recent head-to-head success in New York, and a Yankees team on a 5-game slide. The main concern is bullpen fatigue for Los Angeles, which keeps this from landing higher.