Game Preview
Toronto and Minnesota are right back at it after the Twins grabbed a 7-4 win in this series on Saturday, and Sunday’s matchup brings a much different look with Max Scherzer listed for the Blue Jays. Minnesota has been the hotter club over a bigger sample at 7-3 in its last 10 games, but Toronto has already shown in this matchup history that these games can turn into high-scoring swings in a hurry. With several hitters on both sides carrying strong batter-vs-pitcher numbers, this one has the feel of a game where the early innings could decide everything.
Game Information
| Date | Sunday, April 12, 2026 |
| Time | 1:37 PM EST |
| Venue | Rogers Centre |
Recent Matchup History
- April 11, 2026: Minnesota Twins 7 at Toronto Blue Jays 4
- April 10, 2026: Minnesota Twins 4 at Toronto Blue Jays 10
- August 27, 2025: Minnesota Twins 8 at Toronto Blue Jays 9
- August 26, 2025: Minnesota Twins 7 at Toronto Blue Jays 5
- August 25, 2025: Minnesota Twins 4 at Toronto Blue Jays 10
Why Toronto Blue Jays Could Win
Toronto’s case starts with Max Scherzer, who is the probable starter and has already shown he can work deep enough to steady a game at home. In the provided recent pitching log, Scherzer’s March 31 start produced 1 earned run on 4 hits with 4 strikeouts, and Toronto has generally played this matchup well in this building, going 5-5 in the last 10 home meetings while winning the two biggest home games in this series by 10-4 and 10-4 margins. The lineup also has strong history against Minnesota’s probable starter. Josh Bell has gone 7-for-15 with a 1.646 OPS against him, Victor Caratini is 10-for-22 with a 1.251 OPS, and Matt Wallner owns a 1.333 OPS in the matchup sample. Toronto’s bullpen fatigue score is only 3, slightly cleaner than Minnesota’s 5, so the Blue Jays could win if Scherzer gives them a firm first five innings and the middle of the order cashes in early.
Why Minnesota Twins Could Win
Minnesota has the stronger recent form, going 4-1 in its last 5 games and 7-3 in its last 10, and that has shown up both on the field and against the number with a 7-3 ATS mark over the last 10. The Twins also just put up 7 runs in Saturday’s win, and several hitters are in useful matchup spots against Scherzer. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is not on Minnesota, but the Twins’ own top matchup data is strong: Josh Bell has a .579 on-base percentage and 1.067 slugging in this pitcher matchup, Victor Caratini owns a .455 average, and Matt Wallner has hit 2 home runs in 8 at-bats. Minnesota’s starter is listed as probable, while Toronto’s lineup has several bats that were quiet Saturday outside of the two solo shots and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s 2-hit day. The Twins could win if their recent power carries over and they force Toronto to play from behind again, especially with their bullpen still fully green despite a slightly higher stress score.
Final Pick
Minnesota Twins ML (-103)
