Game Preview
Thanksgiving spotlight, star quarterbacks, and playoff positioning — the Kansas City Chiefs visit the Dallas Cowboys in a marquee interconference clash. Patrick Mahomes brings a deep receiver group and the ever-present threat of Travis Kelce into a fast track at AT&T Stadium. Dak Prescott counters with CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, and a Cowboys offense that’s found red-zone rhythm in recent weeks. Expect a chess match between elite quarterbacks and disruptive interior defensive lines — with momentum swings coming on third down and in the red zone.
Game Information
| Date | Thursday, November 27, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 4:30 PM EST |
| Location | AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX |
| Surface | Artificial |
| Roof | Retractable Dome |
| Weather | Clear sky, 53–56°F, wind ~4 mph |
Injury Report
Dallas Cowboys Injuries
- Out: Trevon Diggs (CB), Miles Sanders (RB), Rob Jones (G), Payton Turner (DE), Juanyeh Thomas (S), Jack Sanborn (ILB), Tyler Guyton (OT), Trevor Keegan (G), Josh Butler (CB), Phil Mafah (RB), Ajani Cornelius (OT)
- Questionable: Caelen Carson (CB)
Kansas City Chiefs Injuries
- Out: Brandon George (LB), Omarr Norman-Lott (DT), Jake Briningstool (TE), Eric Scott Jr. (CB), Ethan Driskell (OT), Chris Roland-Wallace (CB), Keaontay Ingram (RB), Janarius Robinson (DE), Trey Smith (G), Felix Anudike-Uzomah (DE), Nazeeh Johnson (S), Deon Bush (S), Noah Gray (TE)
- Questionable: None reported
Quarterback Matchup
Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs)
Over his last three games, Mahomes has averaged 292.7 passing yards on 41.7 attempts with 24.3 completions. The efficiency has dipped: just 0.33 passing TDs per game against 1.0 INT, a 7.05 YPA, and a 57.2% completion rate (away_qb_stats.L3). He’s taken 3.33 sacks per game and added a modest 12.7 rushing yards. The Chiefs can still stress defenses vertically with Xavier Worthy and Marquise Brown while Travis Kelce works the middle, but TE depth is thinned by injuries. In a dome, timing and spacing should improve; the question is red-zone punch and protection on key downs, especially with RG Trey Smith out.
Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys)
Prescott enters hot over the last three: 290.7 passing yards on 36.0 attempts and 24.0 completions, with 2.33 passing TDs to 0.67 INTs, a strong 8.12 YPA, and a 67.1% completion rate (home_qb_stats.L3). He’s been reasonably clean in the pocket (2.33 sacks per game) and adds 13 rushing yards on average. With CeeDee Lamb as the focal point and George Pickens stretching the boundary, Dallas has balanced shot plays with quick-game efficiency. The concern: LT Tyler Guyton is out, placing stress on protection against Chris Jones and George Karlaftis. Even so, Prescott’s recent accuracy and decision-making have carried high-leverage drives.
Edge: Slight to moderate advantage for Dak Prescott based on recent efficiency (YPA, TD rate, completion%) and lower turnover risk. Mahomes’ ceiling is unmatched, but Dak’s current form and the dome setting tilt the near-term performance outlook toward Dallas.
Why Kansas City Chiefs Covers
Kansas City’s defense has traveled all season, and the front led by Chris Jones can dictate terms against a Dallas line missing starting LT Tyler Guyton. That mismatch invites pressure and negative plays, potentially stalling the Cowboys’ vertical game. Even amid a three-game dip, Patrick Mahomes is averaging nearly 293 yards per game (away_qb_stats.L3) and now operates on a fast track where timing routes to Xavier Worthy, Marquise Brown, and seam work to Travis Kelce should sharpen. Dallas is also down Trevon Diggs, softening the secondary against spacing concepts. With Isiah Pacheco to set a floor on early downs and reliable kicking, the Chiefs can control leverage downs, win field position, and turn short fields into enough points. If their pass rush consistently wins on the Cowboys’ left side, Kansas City can cover by compressing Dallas’ explosive play rate and forcing Prescott into longer third downs.
Why Dallas Cowboys Covers
Dak Prescott is in rhythm: over the last three, he’s posting 2.33 TDs per game with an 8.12 YPA and 67.1% completions (home_qb_stats.L3). In a dome, that accuracy translates, especially with CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens winning isolations and KaVontae Turpin threatening with speed. Dallas also boasts disruptive interior defenders (Kenny Clark, Quinnen Williams) to muddy Kansas City’s run game and squeeze Mahomes’ pocket from the inside. While the Chiefs’ defense is stout, Kansas City is without RG Trey Smith and multiple rotational defenders, opening windows for stunts and late-loop pressure. If the Cowboys can mitigate the edge rush with quick game and play-action, Prescott’s recent ball security edge and red-zone execution can carry the cover. Home field, recent offensive form, and a controlled environment give Dallas a path to trade scores and finish more drives with touchdowns.
The Pick
Dallas Cowboys ML (+154)
