NFL: NE vs NYG (2025-12-01)

Game Preview

Monday Night Football heads to Foxborough where the New England Patriots put their five-game surge to the test against the New York Giants. Rookie quarterbacks Drake Maye and Jaxson Dart headline a fascinating contrast: Maye’s downfield efficiency versus Dart’s dual-threat spark. With New England eyeing playoff positioning and the Giants searching for a signature road win, the margins will hinge on protection, red-zone execution, and turnover control. The stage is set for a physical, cold-weather chess match under the lights.

Game Information

Date Monday, December 1, 2025
Kickoff 8:15 PM EST
Location Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Surface Artificial
Roof Outdoor
Weather Clear, 34–40°F, wind ~5 mph

Injury Report

New England Patriots Injuries

  • Out: Brock Lampe, Alex Austin, Will Campbell, Lan Larison, Jared Wilson, Isaiah Iton, Marcellas Dial Jr., Yasir Durant, Milton Williams, Antonio Gibson, Darius Harris, Deneric Prince, Jaquelin Roy, Brenden Schooler, Jashaun Corbin
  • Questionable: Harold Landry III, Garrett Bradbury, Khyiris Tonga

New York Giants Injuries

  • Out: TJ Moore, Beaux Collins, Thomas Fidone II, Da’Quan Felton, Cam Skattebo, Darius Muasau, Chris Board, Graham Gano, Malik Nabers, Art Green, Anthony Johnson Jr., Bryce Ford-Wheaton, Joshua Ezeudu, Evan Neal, Micah McFadden, Kayvon Thibodeaux
  • Questionable: Victor Dimukeje, Korie Black, Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles

Quarterback Matchup

Jaxson Dart (New York Giants)

Over his last three, Dart has been efficient and dangerous with his legs: 65.5% completion, 7.39 YPA, and 208.7 passing yards per game with a clean 3:0 TD:INT. The rookie’s mobility pops, averaging 46.3 rushing yards and over a touchdown on the ground per game in that span, driving 2.33 total TDs per contest. The drawback is pressure: he’s taken 3.0 sacks per game, and the loss of WR1 Malik Nabers limits explosive opportunities. If Dart mitigates sacks with quick game and designed keepers, he can sustain drives, but finishing through the air against a disciplined secondary will be the test.

Drake Maye (New England Patriots)

Maye’s recent three-game form blends aggressiveness with protection: 8.46 YPA, 281.7 passing yards per game, and a 1.33 TD average, while limiting sacks to just 1.0 per game. The completion mark sits at 62.7% with a 4:2 TD:INT over the span, reflecting a willingness to push the ball downfield to a seasoned receiving corps. He’s added modest rushing (12.3 yards) but wins primarily from the pocket. With multiple New York front-seven injuries, clean pockets should translate into chain-moving efficiency and fewer negative plays, especially on third down and in the red area.

Edge: Slight lean to Maye for downfield efficiency and sack avoidance, but Dart’s rushing creates a volatile ceiling. The Giants’ receiver injuries narrow Dart’s margin, while New England’s protection and perimeter talent give Maye the steadier path.

Why New York Giants Covers

The Giants’ path is built on Dart’s dual-threat profile and a defense that can still muddy the middle despite absences. Dart’s recent line—65.5% passing, 7.39 YPA, and 46.3 rush yards per game—lets New York lean on play-action and QB run to stay on schedule. New England’s offensive line is shorthanded at tackle and guard, which can compress the Patriots’ run lanes and force longer third downs. If the Giants manufacture touches for Wan’Dale Robinson and win field position via special teams, they can shorten the game and target a one-score script. A ball-control approach paired with red-zone bends can keep this within a touchdown deep into the fourth, setting up a possible backdoor if needed.

Why New England Patriots Covers

New England combines a red-hot run of form (five straight wins) with a stingy defense and home-field comfort in the cold. Maye’s 8.46 YPA over the last three dovetails with a pass rush facing a Giants offense missing key pieces, notably WR1 Malik Nabers and OLB Kayvon Thibodeaux. The Patriots have protected their quarterback well (1.0 sack per game allowed in Maye’s L3), and their receiving depth, headlined by Stefon Diggs, can stress New York’s depleted secondary. If New England plays from ahead, TreVeyon Henderson and Rhamondre Stevenson can salt drives, while the defense compresses the pocket on obvious passing downs. In a game with limited explosive plays expected, the Patriots’ consistency across all four quarters supports a margin beyond one score.

The Pick

New England Patriots vs New York Giants Total — Under 46.5 (-108)

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