NFL: PHI vs CHI (2025-11-28)

Game Preview

The Chicago Bears visit the Philadelphia Eagles in a Friday showcase with playoff positioning at stake. It’s a compelling quarterback duel: rookie standout Caleb Williams brings playmaking juice to a Bears offense that’s been productive of late, while Jalen Hurts aims to steady the Eagles after a narrow road loss. With November winds swirling at Lincoln Financial Field and both teams on a short week, expect a physical game that leans on ground attacks and situational execution. The margin for error shrinks on special teams and in the red zone.

Game Information

Date Friday, November 28, 2025
Kickoff 3:00 PM EST
Location Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Surface Grass
Roof Outdoor
Weather Broken clouds, 40–41°F (wind chill ~31°F), winds ~16 mph

Injury Report

Philadelphia Eagles Injuries

  • Out: Andrew Mukuba (S), Cameron Williams (OT), Willie Lampkin (C), Luke Felix-Fualalo (OT), Ben VanSumeren (FB), Azeez Ojulari (OLB), Xavier Gipson (WR), Johnny Wilson (WR), Ogbo Okoronkwo (OLB), Lane Johnson (OT), Charley Hughlett (LS), Marcus Epps (S)
  • Questionable: Myles Hinton (OT)

Chicago Bears Injuries

  • Out: Deion Hankins (RB), Luke Newman (G), Zah Frazier (DB), Shemar Turner (DL), Ruben Hyppolite II (LB), Terell Smith (CB), Ricky Stromberg (C), Kiran Amegadjie (OT), Tyrique Stevenson (CB), Noah Sewell (LB), Roschon Johnson (RB), Dayo Odeyingbo (DE), Dominique Robinson (DE), Braxton Jones (OT), Nikola Kalinic (TE), T.J. Edwards (LB), Tremaine Edmunds (LB)
  • Questionable: None

Quarterback Matchup

Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears)

Over his last three games, Williams has balanced aggression with ball security. He’s averaging 217.3 passing yards on 34.3 attempts with 1.33 passing TDs and 0 INTs (away_qb_stats.L3). The efficiency is workable at 6.32 YPA, and he’s added real value as a runner, posting 36.7 rushing yards per game with 0.33 rushing TDs. Protection has held up—just 1.0 sack per game—helping him keep negative plays in check. The completion rate sits at 53.3%, which leaves room for growth, but his turnover rate has been low (0.33 per game). In a windy environment, his off-script creation and designed runs are meaningful stabilizers.

Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles)

Hurts has been efficient and careful with the ball of late. Over the last three, he’s at 202.3 passing yards on 31.0 attempts with 0.67 passing TDs and 0 INTs, plus 30.3 rushing yards and 1.0 rushing TD per game (home_qb_stats.L3). His 6.42 YPA is comparable to Williams, and he’s taken only 0.67 sacks per game. The 59.0% completion is modest, but his red-zone rushing and situational management remain assets in tighter, lower-scoring games. While the explosive passing has cooled, the floor is high because he limits mistakes and converts near the goal line.

Edge: Slight lean to Williams in recent production due to better touchdown rate and rushing explosiveness, but Hurts’ steadiness, red-zone rushing (1.0 TD/gm), and home environment balance the scales. Overall, it profiles as a near-even QB matchup in current form.

Why Chicago Bears Covers

The number is the appeal: getting +7 in a game with 16 mph winds and temperatures around 40°F increases the likelihood of a tighter, possession-driven script. Chicago’s recent output (last three: 24.7 ppg) stacks up well against Philadelphia’s offense, which has averaged 15.7 ppg over the same span (team trends). Caleb Williams has 0 INTs in his last three with just 1.0 sack per game, and his 36.7 rushing yards per game helps sustain drives when the wind caps vertical shots. Even against a strong Eagles front, Philadelphia is down Lane Johnson on offense, potentially flattening any shootout risk. With DJ Moore and Rome Odunze creating after the catch, Chicago has enough offensive balance to stay within one score. Trend-wise, the Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five away (away_team_trends), aligning with a value-driven cover.

Why Philadelphia Eagles Covers

Philadelphia brings the sturdier defense and home-field edge in cold, windy conditions. The Eagles’ recent trend shows just 13.3 ppg allowed over the last three (home_team_trends), and the front anchored by Jalen Carter and Jordan Davis can compress pockets and win early downs. Offensively, Jalen Hurts has taken only 0.67 sacks per game in his last three with 1.0 rushing TD per game, an important lever if drives bog down in the red zone. Chicago’s defense is depleted at the second level—Tremaine Edmunds, T.J. Edwards, and Noah Sewell are out—opening lanes for Saquon Barkley and QB power. With Tyrique Stevenson also out, A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith have matchup leverage. Short-week travel for the Bears into a hostile environment compounds the challenge if the Eagles play from ahead.

The Pick

Chicago Bears +7 (-108)

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